it couldn't happen here

This is based on what would happen if a nuclear incident with the same

severity as Fukushima happened in the more heavily populated area 
around Dungeness

Day 1

“Large-scale military movements in the Romney Marsh area last night were described today by a Ministry of Defence spokesperson as a ‘routine contingency exercise’ taken to test defences against terrorists entering the country illegally. Over to our defence correspondent, Caroline Wyatt.”

“It is unusual for military manoeuvres to be undertaken suddenly and at night with no prior warning. Local residents have reported hearing loud bangs from the direction of the Dungeness nuclear power station…”
 

Day 2

“Pictures have emerged of military vehicles passing through Lydd, near Dungeness. Local resident Bryan Perkins, who filmed this on his mobile, reports that troop carriers and light armoured vehicles moved at speed and forcibly stopped local traffic movements. All flights in and out of Lydd Airport have been cancelled and the area remains closed to anyone except residents, who have been told to remain in their homes. This is no routine exercise that I’ve ever seen. But the government remain tight lipped about the situation…”
 

Day 3

“Downing Street has just announced that the Prime Minister will be making a statement at Number Ten shortly. These pictures are live from Downing Street. There’s the podium… It is now clear that what the Government was until last night insisting was a routine training exercise was in fact a full-scale, very real anti-terrorist action. It is believed to involve Dungeness nuclear power station. And – here’s the Prime Minister now.”

“Good morning. As you will by now be aware, a serious incident has occurred at Dungeness power station. Two nights ago, a group of terrorists attacked and took control of a part of the complex for a time. We were able to put into effect a contingency plan to rapidly re-take control of the power station, which, thanks to the swift action of our armed forces, was achieved with minimal damage. Unfortunately, though, the terrorists did cause some damage before our troops arrived. British Nuclear Fuels Limited, the operators of Dungeness, assure me that they will rapidly have the situation under control at the plant. COBRA has been meeting regularly. Purely as a precaution, we have decided to evacuate the immediate area. You will understand that this needed to be done in utmost secrecy, but we will issue more details as soon as we can.”

“Well, what struck me, Hugh, was what he didn’t say. Where are the terrorists now? And you will have noticed the phrase ‘they will rapidly have the situation under control.’ To me, that says it’s not under control yet. Is that the terrorist situation or the nuclear situation. Word I’m getting privately is that real damage has been done to the plant; and the precautionary evacuation supports that.”

“And we’re going over live to Caroline Wyatt, at Romney. What can you see down there, Caroline?”

“Chris, we have seen lots of comings and goings, but the Army is maintaining a total exclusion zone over the whole Romney area. There has been a sense of confusion, with residents initially advised to evacuate, but then told to stay indoors and keep doors and windows closed. We have been told by residents trapped in the zone, that body bags have been seen on army lorries: presumably the terrorists…”

Day 4

“A clearer picture is emerging of the terrorist attack on Thursday night. It seems a group of suicide bombers took control of the site. They must have had an intimate knowledge of the operation and layout of the plant. It is thought at least one of them worked there. They took a number of hostages and forced them to drain the coolant from the reactors and spent fuel rod tanks. This has led to some damage to the fissile material, though it is not clear to what extent. Equipment was also damaged by explosions. The terrorists were able to keep hold of the main core areas and control room until the following day, but appear to have been taken out by special forces; and we understand there were some casualties in the army and among BNL staff at the plant.”
 

Day 5

“It’s now clear that the reactor core was damaged and may be cracked. There is a possibility according to off the record briefings that a very limited amount of radioactive material has escaped. Professor Bryant of the Nuclear Research Institute spoke to us earlier.”

“We thought the design of the reactor housing was bomb proof and even capable of withstanding a plane crashing on to it, but no-one envisaged a scenario where suicidal maniacs would take control and deliberately drain and vent the core, then blow up the supply pipes, even though this would jeopardise their own lives – not to mention the poor staff present in the building….”

“Reports are coming in from a hospital in Cheltenham, the base of the SAS, that some service personnel have been admitted with radiation sickness….”
 

Day 6

“With levels of radiation in the plant rising to such an extent that experts cannot approach the reactor core safely, residents have been asked to evacuate a 20km exclusion zone immediately, with those in a 30km zone asked to remain on standby, and to keep indoors.

“I’m here in Folkestone on the Hythe road, which is being evacuated now. I think it’s fair to say people are anxious and there has been some sense of controlled panic, but overall the mood remains calm.”

“Yes, the exclusion zone does make it sound like Fukushima. But this is not another Fukushima. The plant is completely different and built to higher standards. And it was clear the Japanese plant was not correctly managed, with more spent fuel on site than was meant to be stored. Also there was no power to replace the coolant for weeks, which meant they had to pump sea water in to the containment vessels. Here we have power and so on. Though there are reports of severe damage to the control equipment and supply pipes. The problem is really getting safe access when radioactivity is so high.”
 

Day 7

“Why it’s proving difficult to get on with repairs is that, with radioactive levels rising to over 100 millisiverts in the plant housing, workers can get a year’s safe dose of radioactivity within less than 15 minutes. There’s some very brave people down there. But the fact is that the situation is getting worse, and radiation levels are rising. David Shukman, at the Exclusion Zone cordon, BBC News.”

“The entire coastal area from the western suburbs of Folkestone nearly to Hastings has been evacuated, and Channel shipping has been forced to travel closer to the French coast. The government say that with the prevailing wind still from the east, it is still safe to use the M20, which is only about 18km from Dungeness at one point; but many drivers are avoiding this route. There was major gridlock today around the Kent village of Hawkinge, just north of Folkestone, where lorries were trying to get by a back road route to the Channel Tunnel.
 

Day 8

“Well yes, I admit, this was a scenario we never envisaged. But lessons will be learnt. There’s no chance of this happening at the new plants being designed now. This scenario will be factored in.”

“But weren’t experts like you saying exactly the same thing after Fukushima… and Chernobyl… and Three Mile Island?”

“Well, yes, and the problems there won’t ever happen again, Jeremy - they have been designed out…”

“And what about the next scenario you ‘never envisaged’?”
 

Day 9

“The French port authorities were today reported to be turning back some lorries with elevated radioactive levels. All traffic through the tunnel is now being checked, causing horrendous delays. With the M20 now closed after a change of heart by the Government, traffic is being forced to go through Folkestone and Dover to the M2.”
 

Day 10

“The Government Chief Scientific Advisor has today recommended that the exclusion zone is increased to 30km. This follows readings of increased levels of radioactivity in the sea and plutonium particles discovered in soil samples taken in the area. There are conflicting reports about the levels experienced. Professor Bryant of the NRI says that the location is consistent with a radioactive steam discharge from the plant which has produced an airborne plume…”

“There was a similar event at Windscale in 1957. The greatest risk is from milk and some vegetables as caesium tends to get concentrated into them, then ingested by animals or humans. As a precaution, milk, spinach and other produce from the entire counties of Kent and East Sussex is being destroyed…”

“Yes, Sian, we understand there were major rows in COBRA this morning as the full impact of a 30km evacuation zone sank in. It will mean evacuating the whole of Folkestone and Hastings and Ashford, maybe half a million people. The government simply wanted to avoid this at almost any cost. Just the sheer logistics of moving that many people is a challenge, never mind where to put them. A large number who can, have already left under their own steam, to stay with family or friends, but many can’t do so. There are over 20 hospitals in the area, old people’s homes, residential schools… the implications are frightening.”
 

Day 11

“Avoid the M2 and M25 as there are major tailbacks which may take days to clear, due in part to lorries abandoned near the exclusion zone. Evacuees are being advised to take the special trains laid on from Ashford and other mainline stations rather than driving themselves, and to travel with only one suitcase per person. Full details on this government website and in special hourly bulletins on Radio 4 long wave and Radio 4 Extra digital.”
 

Day 15

“…Readings have been as high as three thousand times recommended levels near the coast. All shipping has been diverted to a narrow zone of the Channel near Calais, and this is already impacting on the world’s busiest container shipping route, into Rotterdam, Felixstowe, and other British ports, with queues of ships building up either side of the bottle neck. Dover Harbour, a few miles outside the zone, is still operating normally, but the Channel Tunnel, whose portal is within the zone, is closed for the duration. DFDS Ferries have already diverted some of their ships to Southampton and Felixstowe, but there is not enough capacity to process all of the vehicles arriving in the UK daily. Food supplies have been dramatically affected and there are reports of panic buying of canned vegetables in some areas.”
 

Day 16

“The American State Department and the Japanese Foreign Ministry are advising all their citizens not to travel within 80km of Dungeness except on essential business, and particularly to remove children from this zone, which includes most of London. John Kerry said: ‘We have great sympathy for our dear friends in the UK in this terrible time. While we know that no-one is saying that London should be evacuated, we are advising American citizens not to go there unless they really need to, for the time being.’”

“… At Prime Minister’s Questions today, Mr Cameron, when asked about his comments said: ‘We understand their caution but the Chief Scientific Officer has advised that there is only minimal risk of an increase in cancer levels and that is spread over 25 years.’ He thanked the Opposition for their support. ‘Make no mistake. These are difficult times. Britain has never before in peace time had to face such a challenge: but face it we will. Our people are steadfast. It was from those very ports along the south coast that the armada of volunteers set out in 1940 to rescue our troops in France. Today, that Dunkirk spirit lives on…’”
 

Day 18

“Drinking water samples show higher than normal levels of radioactivity in Kent and as far as the Medway towns. Government advice is that the levels are still well below the safety threshold and it is safe to drink, but as a precaution recommend use of bottled water where possible.”

“The government has released strategic supplies of iodine tablets ‘as a precaution’ and these are being distributed to all doctors’ surgeries in the south east. This suggests that they believe another major explosion is likely from Dungeness. It seems the repair attempts have not succeeded…”

Day 19

“…In this store all supplies of bottled water were stripped from the shelves within minutes of opening. Some other produce has also been in short supply, and there were reports of panic buying as far afield as Brighton. The major supermarket chains are having to divert supplies from the north of England to London and the south east to make up for the loss of produce from Kent and Sussex. This is made worse by the problems with importing food from abroad.”
 

Day 28

“With nearly half a million people now evacuated from the 30km exclusion zone, the pressure on areas such as North Kent, West Sussex and even London has not eased at all over the last few weeks. Most of those evacuated are still in temporary accommodation, including the refugee village – they are avoiding the word ‘camp’ – at the Olympic Park in Stratford. Many others from parts of Kent and Sussex outside the exclusion zone have also decided to leave. Donna Hargreaves has been living since the evacuation in a commandeered static caravan with six other family members at Bexhill.”

“How long is this going to go on? No-one knows! We hear nothing except platitudes. Or lies. Is it even safe here? We are only 5 miles outside the zone! And now they are telling us not to drink the water? I mean, honestly.”

“I worked in the plant. We lived near the plant, with our kids all their lives. We was always told, it’s safe as houses, health and safety this and that, it couldn’t happen here. But now look at it. We’ll never see our homes again.”

Day 35

“On the other hand some people have returned, or never even left. This special report by Allan Little, who was allowed into the zone today with a TV crew, contains some distressing images of animals left to fend for themselves...”

“Pharmaceutical company Pfizer today announced it would be closing its site at Sandwich, Kent. Paul Mason reports on the dire economic prospects for the south east…”

“This announcement is a further blow to the region following the recent bankruptcy of several agricultural processing businesses in Ashford and East Sussex, the collapse of tourism here, and the closure of Hastings’ language schools. A senior manager at one of Kent’s major employers, well outside the official exclusion zone, admitted to me that their brand could be seriously damaged by continuing to manufacture or even research health products in the area. The whole region could be an economic desert for the forty years the exclusion zone is likely to remain in place. And even the official forty years figure is now being questioned.”